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mortenjorck 13 hours ago [-]
From the original announcement last month:
> After this point-when sufficient capacity allows us to do so—we aim to restore Fable 5 as a standard part of subscription plans. We intend to do this as quickly as we can.
From today:
> After July 7, 2026, Claude Fable 5 is no longer included in your plan’s weekly usage limits. You can keep using Claude Fable 5 through usage credits, which let you pay for usage beyond what your plan includes.
Farmadupe 13 hours ago [-]
Is it too cynical to read the first quote as "when openai catch up, we will restore fable 5 to subscription plans"?
In other words, they're saying "We know have a monopoloy and we will take all of your money until someone offers a cheaper competing product"?
And "We intend to do this as quickly as we can" read as a non-promise then as much as it does now?
---
Well, I am assuming that this is all based on the fact that Anthropic have enough compute capacity to serve fable 5 now and in the future, and they're "only" limiting it in the coming week to get richer quicker. Since compute hardware is presumably relatively un-fungible, I'm assuming Anthropic isn't offering a week of fable-5 for everyone on rented hardware that they're paying exporbitant fees for?
In other words, my cynical read is "if they can serve it under the terms of subscription plans for a week", then they could serve it under the same terms for a month?
glimshe 11 hours ago [-]
The word "monopoly" is overused. They simply have the best model at the moment but no real monopoly-style moat or ability to crush their competition through monopoly tactics. I don't support their bait-and-switch, but if you aren't happy, don't use Anthropic. Also, as soon as someone comes up with a better model, transition won't be that painful for most users.
hungryhobbit 12 hours ago [-]
You should actually be even more cynical!
See the link to Reddit in my comment below for more details, but the TLDR is that (as a programmer) even when you use Mythos ... Mythos will hand the work off to Opus!
gAI 12 hours ago [-]
Eh, I have yet to get safety-switched from Fable to Opus. Your mileage may vary.
hungryhobbit 12 hours ago [-]
Whether it happens to 5% or 50% (or even 0.5%) of users, I think everyone should feel extremely cynical when a company offers a huge freebie of a product ... and fails to mention that any % of their customers will actually get yesterday's model.
gAI 12 hours ago [-]
They did talk about it at length in the post, and most of the guardrails were already there in the first release. To be clear, it shouldn't have anything to do with the user. It's the prompt, and if it switches, it'll tell ya.
Avicebron 13 hours ago [-]
That's such a bitter "never let a crisis go to waste" pill
wongarsu 12 hours ago [-]
To be fair, the initial deal was two weeks of access to Fable, then you have to pay (or they might be generous and extend it, as per above quote). Then for everyone outside the US the second week didn't happen. This is basically that second week.
The only slightly bitter thing is only being allowed to use 50% of the weekly limit on Fable
freedomben 12 hours ago [-]
> Then for everyone outside the US
I'm in the US, and I can promise you that it wasn't just for people outside the US that it was taken away
anamexis 12 hours ago [-]
It didn't happen for everyone inside the US, either. Also I believe it was only available for 2 days.
kingforaday 12 hours ago [-]
It's going to continue to suck getting prompt rejections on their overly aggressive "benign" safety margin thresholds [1]. Without a clear understanding of what triggers it, I guess we will pay for input/output tokens on the usage credits and not get refunds? As others on HN, I found very limited utility during the Fable 5 week in early June for my benign-engineering tasks and don't look forward to this new release, but I will try.
This makes sense to me. Consider these assumptions:
1) During peak times, they're already struggling to meet demand. They've figured out that 50% should be achievable without causing too much pain for existing users, and by setting a limit, more users will use it for architecture and then switch back to Opus 4.8 for implementation.
2) They need data on how people are using it at scale to figure out when it should fire up Opus or Haiku agents. They need to be careful not to have a model that kills your usage cap halfway through the week, and they need time to bake in balance.
I think people are reading too much into them not reiterating that they want to offer it in Max subscriptions in the future too. Of course they do, they want to compete!
I think they're trying to avoid setting up expectations right now because of all this backlash, so they didn't restate something that might make people mad. I don't even think they miscalculated - I think we're being hyper-nitpicky.
I would expect that by late July, they'll figure out the balance, and either offer a higher tier Max subscription (40x for $300, perhaps), or have Fable drop to Opus for implementation consistently, and then start offering Fable again in the Max subscriptions. They need to do something to make sure a Fable user doesn't just hit their head on the ceiling all the time.
theplumber 13 hours ago [-]
I bet my house that after the promotional stuff ends they will change their mind and let you keep using Fable on subscription. Otherwise this is the end of their marketshare. These guys are complete idiots. I give them that
rapfaria 12 hours ago [-]
Bold of you to think individuals are a big part of their marketshare and explosive growth. My company introduced enterprise last month and the bill was US$110k for a few dozen folks using it Claude Code and Design.
Do the Pro and Max plans help with word of mouth and whatnot? Sure, but the individual with a Max plan (or 4...) are all subsidized by the big spenders
wongarsu 12 hours ago [-]
Companies up to 150 licenses are encouraged to use the Team plans instead of the Enterprise plans. And those work much more like personal plans and are included in this promotion
Individually those customers are a lot smaller than the big enterprise contracts, but there are a lot more of them
nlh 12 hours ago [-]
I hate that you're right, but you're right. Twitter and HN can scream and yell as loud as they want but the fact is, enterprises are going to use Fable via API and pay the bills. In fact, restricting individuals probably makes it MORE likely that enterprises will pony up.
cyanydeez 12 hours ago [-]
untill the VC cash stops going brrrrrr
mrcwinn 11 hours ago [-]
36 people using Claude is not $1.3m per year. I can assure you that you do not know the full details of that agreement, assuming any of those figures are true.
science4sail 10 hours ago [-]
There are plenty of FAANG (and adjacent Big Tech and FAANG wannabe start ups) staffers that burn $10k/month or more on Claude tokens. Just ask around if you're in Silicon Valley.
$10k/month * 36 people = $4.3m per year. $1.3m per year is a relative bargain!
pheggs 12 hours ago [-]
I would not call them idiots personally, they are just facing an extraordinary difficult situation with their open weight competition that's almost impossible to fix. They will have to aim for the high-end B2B market eventually, and attempt to lock out their competition through regulation or other means
lnenad 12 hours ago [-]
Yup, it's wild watching this happen live.
johnwheeler 12 hours ago [-]
Yeah, I've been crossing my fingers that they do some kind of reverse rug pull. I think most of the world is.
Smart marketing because it takes the wind out of your sails and then blows it right back and makes you feel like they're generous when all along they're just doing standard operating procedure.
mritchie712 13 hours ago [-]
if gpt5.6 is out by July 7th, Fable will stay in the Max plan to at least some degree.
_davide_ 13 hours ago [-]
"promotion" like they are doing you a favor just this once out of their goodwill... Really really really pissed me off
unreal6 13 hours ago [-]
I regret having signed up for an annual plan at this point; the rug-pulls are increasingly irksome.
osti 13 hours ago [-]
I think at the current stage of LLM, it just doesn't make sense to ever have an annual sub. Things change too quickly that you really don't want to be stuck with one model.
countcol 13 hours ago [-]
This seems like the most normal use of the term that I could imagine..?
user43928 12 hours ago [-]
The wording on initial launch was:
"For subscription plans, we’d rather give access sooner than later, so we’re rolling out more conservatively, in stages:
From today through June 22, Fable 5 is included on Pro, Max, Team, and seat-based Enterprise plans at no extra cost.
On June 23, we’ll remove Fable 5 from those plans. Using it after that will require usage credits.
If capacity allows, we’ll extend the included window.
After this point—when sufficient capacity allows us to do so—we aim to restore Fable 5 as a standard part of subscription plans. We intend to do this as quickly as we can."
Now it's a "promotion" that we get to access to Fable for 9 days instead of the original 14 days announced. They are generously throwing in a special halving of the usage "at no extra cost", and freely admit that their classifier is broken and will need to be improved.
Well thanks!
wongarsu 12 hours ago [-]
Everyone did get the first 7 of the original 14 days before the export ban. Now everyone gets another 7 days. Limiting it to half the weekly limit stings, but if you have a quota reset in the middle of it you still get effectively one weekly limit. (does everyone's quota now reset on Saturdays?)
yreg 12 hours ago [-]
> Everyone did get the first 7 of the original 14 days
It was restricted after 3 days.
rainwolf 3 hours ago [-]
my quota reset every time they release (or pull) a new model, pretty sweet
_davide_ 13 hours ago [-]
It isn't a promotion, it's 2x the parameters of opus and we are paying with 2x the consumption rate.
They just want to get rid of the subscription model.
skerit 12 hours ago [-]
Before Fable got pulled, they claimed their goal really was to keep it around in the subscriptions in some way, they just didn't know when it would return. This time there isn't even a single mention of this. It's just "This is a promotion, and it's going away". Like how the hell can this corporation be so fucking bad at communication?
vitally3643 13 hours ago [-]
Anthropic is really giving AMD a run for their money as king of "never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity".
I don't think I've ever seen a company so determined to shit their own pants. It's astonishing, really.
g42gregory 12 hours ago [-]
So is this a part of the "first hit is free" campaign? If it won't be available on subscription past July 7, what is the point of using it for 7 days now? Shouldn't our energy be better spent elsewhere?
wongarsu 12 hours ago [-]
I spent the first seven days of free Fable on having it analyze multiple code bases for performance issues and for various kinds of bugs. That got me a lot of tickets for opus to work through over time
bavell 12 hours ago [-]
Fable was only available for a few days, not seven.
ludamad 12 hours ago [-]
It's already solved some problems I was blocked on for side-projects. I don't feel I have spent energy, and will go back to Opus after July 7th, minus a few hard problems being solved.
quantisan 12 hours ago [-]
they want our interaction data
hadlock 12 hours ago [-]
This is the correct answer
dwaltrip 14 hours ago [-]
It's back baby! runs script to submit the 50 prompts I prepared overnight
ahsillyme 13 hours ago [-]
Since this will not be able to be used for coding or code auditing, what use is it? Not being glib, not a rhetorical question. I'm trying to stretch my creativity, and I can't see what it's for.
nlh 12 hours ago [-]
It's usable for coding and code auditing. The classifier will have some false-positives and some tasks will be downgraded to 4.8 if it's security-adjacent (I presume), but otherwise there's no restrictions on using this for coding.
enraged_camel 12 hours ago [-]
You can use it for coding. The relaunch announcement was just poorly worded.
12 hours ago [-]
thrill 13 hours ago [-]
I'm disappointed with this. Historically, Claude's API cost a significant multiple of their subscription pricing, and after the promotional period it appears the access to Fable will be API only, if I understand this.
There actually is a limit to what people will pay for model usage, and I suppose this squeeze is one way to find out what that limit is. I've been content paying $200 per month for a solid plan that I actually don't quite use up every month, but this new vector really rubs me the wrong way.
freely0085 10 hours ago [-]
It's estimated their margins on API pricing is 10x.
You can get away with a lot when you have the best models… I’m looking forward to OpenAI or open-source catching up so we have some competition again.
QuantumGood 9 hours ago [-]
Cue 27 framings of what is happening/what will happen next, with 27^3 re-framings.
dayone1 12 hours ago [-]
I can't even a benign code review - it triggers the safety message halfway through and switches to Opus. Borderline unusable.
DonsDiscountGas 9 hours ago [-]
I really hope they improve their guardrails. It's useless to me in life science.
nonethewiser 13 hours ago [-]
I wonder what brought them into compliance.
himata4113 13 hours ago [-]
the classifier is very picky, working with languages such as C I get cyber refusals and random reasoning_extraction errors.
anonym29 13 hours ago [-]
It's gone from bad to unbelievably bad. Just a prompt with the single word "virus" was enough to get downgraded to O4.8 before the ban.
"Tell me a story about a man named CVE." gets me downgraded now.
"CVE-" gets me downgraded and broken reasoning with no response.
"Giant crane fly, 2 feet wide" gets me downgraded.
Schiendelman 12 hours ago [-]
Is it likely that it keeps track of what you said recently and decides whether you might be referring to things you've previously been downgraded for?
I haven't been downgraded once, either a few weeks ago for the three days it was live, or since I got it back today.
anonym29 10 hours ago [-]
>Is it likely that it keeps track of what you said recently and decides whether you might be referring to things you've previously been downgraded for?
I have no special knowledge here, it feels rather unproductive for me to speculate.
Out of curiosity, if you're comfortable trying any of them, do any of the above prompts cause you to get downgraded?
Schiendelman 8 hours ago [-]
Good question! I'll give them a shot when I'm back to my computer.
Schiendelman 5 hours ago [-]
I went last to first, and I was not blocked.
baggachipz 12 hours ago [-]
Gold statues, ring-kissing, and total fealty to the military's desires?
gck1 12 hours ago [-]
Since Anthropic has eroded all the trust it could possibly have, I'm going to allow myself to be cynical and say that this move is just another pillar of their shady marketing practices.
I know a few real persons who will praise Fable solely because it's scarce and unavailable to them. Heck, they've already been doing that in the past month, as if Fable allowed them to do unimaginable things.
And once this play has done its job, Anthropic is going to come as a savior and put it back into subscription, driving even more hysteria and visibility.
There's probably a name for this tactic in some marketing playbook which I'm unaware of.
dyauspitr 13 hours ago [-]
The worst part of this is are they even training the next generation anymore? Why do it when the government has decided that US LLMs are at the peak of what they will allow consumer access to.
cyanydeez 12 hours ago [-]
IPO is when new models become economic hirdles.
freely0085 10 hours ago [-]
Wow this is a crazy bait and switch. Surprised it's even legal.
13 hours ago [-]
egamirorrim 13 hours ago [-]
I'm so disappointed that Anthropic are jerking us around so much with Fable. Really makes me feel like cattle they're unsubtly milking.
joe_mamba 12 hours ago [-]
I can't wait for China to launch a Fable-like model for 20% the cost and bomb Anthropic
sailfast 12 hours ago [-]
Apparently they hired some payday loans marketing folks recently?
As much as I like(d) Anthropic and their approach to being a lab / PBC, if you hire that many people that fast for that much money, it’s inevitable that you end up with some of the same grifters that destroyed the internet. Seems hard to stop them somehow from also destroying their next company.
sva_ 12 hours ago [-]
all usage has been reset. lez go!
cute_boi 12 hours ago [-]
This is very expensive model. Just tried 2-3 prompts and my 5 hour from 20x plan is exhausted...
usernamed7 13 hours ago [-]
this is "too little, too late" for me. I'll stick with opus 4.8.
_davide_ 13 hours ago [-]
I'm tempted as well, just out of spite
LoganDark 14 hours ago [-]
Took em long enough! Now to see how many turns I get on Max 20x before it's effectively inaccessible indefinitely for me.
jazzpush2 12 hours ago [-]
Completely fails for anything bio-related. What a joke.
ecommerceguy 12 hours ago [-]
Yawn, after Toasts AI provided me with very incorrect sales numbers, I'm scaling back ai use. Its glorified search for non coders at best.
13 hours ago [-]
taytus 13 hours ago [-]
Anthropic is the most idiotic corporation in America, right now.
guptadagger 12 hours ago [-]
i think they've got everyone by the balls with how addicted they are to their products
Anthropic switches you back to Opus whenever you code!
But what I find truly offensive is that there's no mention of that anywhere in the page linked above. That page makes the "grand gesture" of supposedly giving away free Fable ... when no such thing is happening (again, at least, not for coders).
skerit 12 hours ago [-]
That's not true, but it's their own fault for being so utterly terrible at communication. It only drops back to Opus for some prompts, just like before. The longer blogpost was a bit less vague about this.
hungryhobbit 12 hours ago [-]
Did you read link?
>In the near term, some routine tasks like coding and debugging will fallback to Opus 4.8
Those are Anthropic's words, not mine (although, again, they do not appear anywhere in the page where they magnanimously offer everyone "free Fable"!
> After this point-when sufficient capacity allows us to do so—we aim to restore Fable 5 as a standard part of subscription plans. We intend to do this as quickly as we can.
From today:
> After July 7, 2026, Claude Fable 5 is no longer included in your plan’s weekly usage limits. You can keep using Claude Fable 5 through usage credits, which let you pay for usage beyond what your plan includes.
In other words, they're saying "We know have a monopoloy and we will take all of your money until someone offers a cheaper competing product"?
And "We intend to do this as quickly as we can" read as a non-promise then as much as it does now?
---
Well, I am assuming that this is all based on the fact that Anthropic have enough compute capacity to serve fable 5 now and in the future, and they're "only" limiting it in the coming week to get richer quicker. Since compute hardware is presumably relatively un-fungible, I'm assuming Anthropic isn't offering a week of fable-5 for everyone on rented hardware that they're paying exporbitant fees for?
In other words, my cynical read is "if they can serve it under the terms of subscription plans for a week", then they could serve it under the same terms for a month?
See the link to Reddit in my comment below for more details, but the TLDR is that (as a programmer) even when you use Mythos ... Mythos will hand the work off to Opus!
The only slightly bitter thing is only being allowed to use 50% of the weekly limit on Fable
I'm in the US, and I can promise you that it wasn't just for people outside the US that it was taken away
1. https://www.anthropic.com/news/redeploying-fable-5
1) During peak times, they're already struggling to meet demand. They've figured out that 50% should be achievable without causing too much pain for existing users, and by setting a limit, more users will use it for architecture and then switch back to Opus 4.8 for implementation.
2) They need data on how people are using it at scale to figure out when it should fire up Opus or Haiku agents. They need to be careful not to have a model that kills your usage cap halfway through the week, and they need time to bake in balance.
I think people are reading too much into them not reiterating that they want to offer it in Max subscriptions in the future too. Of course they do, they want to compete!
I think they're trying to avoid setting up expectations right now because of all this backlash, so they didn't restate something that might make people mad. I don't even think they miscalculated - I think we're being hyper-nitpicky.
I would expect that by late July, they'll figure out the balance, and either offer a higher tier Max subscription (40x for $300, perhaps), or have Fable drop to Opus for implementation consistently, and then start offering Fable again in the Max subscriptions. They need to do something to make sure a Fable user doesn't just hit their head on the ceiling all the time.
Do the Pro and Max plans help with word of mouth and whatnot? Sure, but the individual with a Max plan (or 4...) are all subsidized by the big spenders
Individually those customers are a lot smaller than the big enterprise contracts, but there are a lot more of them
$10k/month * 36 people = $4.3m per year. $1.3m per year is a relative bargain!
Smart marketing because it takes the wind out of your sails and then blows it right back and makes you feel like they're generous when all along they're just doing standard operating procedure.
"For subscription plans, we’d rather give access sooner than later, so we’re rolling out more conservatively, in stages:
From today through June 22, Fable 5 is included on Pro, Max, Team, and seat-based Enterprise plans at no extra cost.
On June 23, we’ll remove Fable 5 from those plans. Using it after that will require usage credits.
If capacity allows, we’ll extend the included window. After this point—when sufficient capacity allows us to do so—we aim to restore Fable 5 as a standard part of subscription plans. We intend to do this as quickly as we can."
Now it's a "promotion" that we get to access to Fable for 9 days instead of the original 14 days announced. They are generously throwing in a special halving of the usage "at no extra cost", and freely admit that their classifier is broken and will need to be improved.
Well thanks!
It was restricted after 3 days.
I don't think I've ever seen a company so determined to shit their own pants. It's astonishing, really.
There actually is a limit to what people will pay for model usage, and I suppose this squeeze is one way to find out what that limit is. I've been content paying $200 per month for a solid plan that I actually don't quite use up every month, but this new vector really rubs me the wrong way.
Fable 5 Is Back - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48752030 - July 2026 (133 comments)
"Tell me a story about a man named CVE." gets me downgraded now.
"CVE-" gets me downgraded and broken reasoning with no response.
"Giant crane fly, 2 feet wide" gets me downgraded.
I haven't been downgraded once, either a few weeks ago for the three days it was live, or since I got it back today.
I have no special knowledge here, it feels rather unproductive for me to speculate.
Out of curiosity, if you're comfortable trying any of them, do any of the above prompts cause you to get downgraded?
I know a few real persons who will praise Fable solely because it's scarce and unavailable to them. Heck, they've already been doing that in the past month, as if Fable allowed them to do unimaginable things.
And once this play has done its job, Anthropic is going to come as a savior and put it back into subscription, driving even more hysteria and visibility.
There's probably a name for this tactic in some marketing playbook which I'm unaware of.
As much as I like(d) Anthropic and their approach to being a lab / PBC, if you hire that many people that fast for that much money, it’s inevitable that you end up with some of the same grifters that destroyed the internet. Seems hard to stop them somehow from also destroying their next company.
Anthropic switches you back to Opus whenever you code!
But what I find truly offensive is that there's no mention of that anywhere in the page linked above. That page makes the "grand gesture" of supposedly giving away free Fable ... when no such thing is happening (again, at least, not for coders).
>In the near term, some routine tasks like coding and debugging will fallback to Opus 4.8
Those are Anthropic's words, not mine (although, again, they do not appear anywhere in the page where they magnanimously offer everyone "free Fable"!